The Tottenham Hotspur Family Podcast

A global Tottenham Hotspur podcast and viewpoint, by the fans for the fans.

The Forward Line

by Elliott Line The Forward Line Newcastle1

In our history we’ve played Newcastle 130 times, with a 44% win ratio, and a 65% unbeaten ratio, however away from home our win ratio historically drops to 31% and our unbeaten ratio to 60%. In this fixture last year we won 4-0, with a brace from Adebayor, and Paulinho and Chadli also hitting the mark.

The Forward Line Newcastle2

Newcastle’s current form is poor. They have lost their last five games, most recently against Liverpool.

Our form is only a little better, with only a point from the last two games, where six points should have been achievable.

I rate the likelihood of us scoring as 74%, and of scoring more than once as 58%, and of keeping a clean sheet as 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, followed by a 1-0 win, a 2-1 win and a 1-0 defeat.

SCORELINE AND RESULT PREDICTION NEWCASTLE 150419

The graph shows the relative likelihoods of each scoreline: the larger the rectangle, the more likely the scoreline. The pie chart showing probabilities for the overall result: 42% for a Spurs win, 28% for a draw and 30% for a loss.

Overall I have 42% for a Spurs win, 28% for a draw and 30% for a Newcastle win. Currently the best odds for a Spurs win can be found at Betbright who are offering odds of 11/8.

Next week:  The Forward Line takes a look at our Southhampton away game.

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This entry was posted on 14/04/2015 by in Uncategorized.

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