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In our history we’ve played Stoke 66 times, with a win ratio of 51% and an unbeaten ratio of 74%. Of the games played at Stoke, we’ve won precisely 1 in 3.
This fixture last season saw us win 1-0, through a first half Danny Rose goal. In the second half Ryan Shawcross was sent off for a second bookable offence. Two seasons ago, Stoke also had a player sent off: that time Charlie Adam. Our most recent meeting, at the Lane in November saw us lose 2-1 and lose Kyle Naughton to a red card towards the end of the game.
I’m expecting a close, low scoring game, where grit and stamina will be more important than skill and finesse, and where missed chances could prove decisive.
I rate the likelihood of us scoring as 69%, and of scoring more than once as 28%, and of keeping a clean sheet as quite a decent 37%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, followed by a 1-0 Spurs win, a 1-0 defeat and a 2-1 Spurs win.
Overall I have 38% for a Spurs win, 28% for a draw and 34% for a Stoke City win. Currently the best odds for a Spurs win can be found at Marathon Bet who are offering 8/5.
Next week: The Forward Line takes a look at our home game against Hull City.