The Forward Line

by Elliott Line

In our history we’ve played Southampton only 75 times, winning 47% and unbeaten in 69% of games. However, at Southampton, we’ve won only 10 out of 37 previous meetings. In this fixture last season we won 3-2, with two goals from Emmanuel Adebayor, in Tim Sherwood’s first game in charge, and Mauricio Pochettino in the opposing dugout.

Southampton have had a great season so far, surpassing all but the most optimistic expectations, and so it won’t be an easy place for us to go.

I rate the likelihood of us scoring as 62%, and of scoring more than once as 29%, and of keeping a clean sheet as 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, followed by a 1-0 defeat, a 2-1 defeat and a 0-0 draw.

The graph shows the relative likelihoods of each scoreline: the larger the rectangle, the more likely the scoreline. The pie chart showing probabilities for the overall result:26% for a Spurs win, 28% for a draw and 46% for a Southampton win.

Overall I have 26% for a Spurs win, 28% for a draw and 46% for a Southampton win. Currently the best odds for a Spurs win can be found at Betvictor who are offering 11/4.

Next week: The Forward Line takes a look at our home game against Manchester City.